Consumption Response to a Natural Disaster: Evidence of Price and Income Shocks from Chennai Flood

We utilize monthly individual-level financial data and item-level supermarket sales data to study how consumption responds to one of the costliest natural disasters in India. We find that consumption dropped by 11% during the disaster, 65% of which was recovered after the disaster. On average, consumption per capita dropped by $312 per year, which costs about 5% of the GDP. We also show that natural disasters depressed consumption through income shocks instead of price shocks. Consumers smooth consumption using credit card, banks loans and wealth in coping with the shocks.

Agarwal, Sumit and Ghosh, Pulak and Zheng, Huanhuan, Consumption Response to a Natural Disaster: Evidence of Price and Income Shocks from Chennai Flood (December 10, 2020). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3777641 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3777641